-
Apa itu kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi, juga dikenal sebagai kalender ekonomi Forex atau Kalender FX, adalah alat yang memungkinkan para trader membuat analisis fundamental pasar keuangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Artinya – Anda akan dapat melihat peristiwa makroekonomi yang menggerakkan pasar dan membuat keputusan trading Forex berdasarkan data.
-
Data apa saja yang termasuk dalam kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi mencakup informasi tentang peristiwa ekonomi besar, serta berita politik dan pengaruhnya terhadap pasar Forex. Semua peristiwa keuangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tanggal rilis data indikator, mata uang yang diperkirakan akan terpengaruh, dan tingkat dampak setiap indikator. Sebagian besar indikator memiliki nilai numerik, yang dapat dinyatakan sebagai persentase atau nilai mata uang. Mereka mencerminkan dampak yang dimiliki atau yang akan ditimbulkan oleh indikator tertentu, baik positif maupun negatif.
Kalender ekonomi forex kami memiliki tiga kolom untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelumnya, Prakiraan, dan Aktual:
- Data sebelumnya menunjukkan nilai indikator pada periode sebelumnya (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun sebelumnya);
- Prakiraan menunjukkan perkiraan nilai indikator berdasarkan survei terhadap 20-240 ekonom;
- Aktual adalah nilai yang dipublikasikan oleh sumber resmi seperti badan statistik nasional atau pusat analitik.
Kami juga memberikan informasi tambahan tentang indikator spesifik dan grafik yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai menurut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang Anda minati untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut.
-
Bagaimana cara membaca kalender ekonomi?
Terkadang jumlah peristiwa ekonomi yang terjadi saat ini bisa sangat banyak. Jadi, pertama-tama, pastikan untuk menggunakan filter untuk melihat indikator paling relevan untuk trading Forex Anda. Misalnya, Anda dapat memilih mata uang yang Anda rencanakan untuk diperdagangkan atau dampak indikatornya.
Di bagian atas kalender trading Forex kami, pilih zona waktu yang paling cocok.
Gunakan nilai numerik indikator untuk menavigasi perubahan pasar. Inilah sebabnya mengapa perkiraan dan angka rilis aktual sangat penting. Bandingkan angkanya: jika nilai Aktualnya lebih besar dibandingkan prakiraan, ini bagus untuk mata uang dan kemungkinan akan naik harganya; jika nilai Aktualnya lebih rendah dari Prakiraan, berarti akan turun.
Anda dapat mengaplikasikan logika yang serupa untuk melihat nilai Sebelumnya dan Prakiraan bahkan sebelum data dirilis, tapi berhati-hatilah – prakiraan selalu hanya menunjukkan data awal dan angka sebenarnya mungkin berbeda secara drastis.
-
Ada indikator ekonomi apa saja yang tersedia?
Indikator ekonomi adalah peristiwa ekonomi utama yang digunakan untuk menafsirkan peluang investasi dalam trading Forex. Biasanya peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi mata uang dan harga saham.
Indikatornya bisa 'tmemimpin/leading' (memprediksi perubahan yang akan datang), 'bertepatan/coincident' (menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi saat ini di area tertentu) dan 'tertinggal/lagging' (mengkonfirmasi pola dan tren).
Indikator ekonomi top:
- Kurva Imbal Hasil AS – menunjukkan rasio antara tagihan perbendaharaan (Treasury bills) jangka pendek dan obligasi perbendaharaan (Treasury bonds) jangka panjang. Indikator tersebut berhasil memprediksi delapan resesi besar dalam beberapa tahun terakhir.
- PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto) – merupakan salah satu metrik paling penting dari kesehatan ekonomi. Ini adalah indikator yang tertinggal, jadi ini menunjukkan apa yang telah terjadi, tetapi bisa menjadi penanda bagus dari resesi yang akan datang.
- Tingkat Pengangguran – ini adalah persentase orang yang mencari pekerjaan dan akan menunjukkan seberapa sehat ketenagakerjaan dan juga perekonomiannya secara umum.
- Suku Bunga – adalah indikator tertinggal lainnya yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini dapat mempengaruhi PDB dan inflasi, jadi waspadalah terhadap dua hal tersebut.
Ini hanyalah beberapa dari sekian indikator penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti rencana trading harian kami dari para analis FBS untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut tentang berita trading terkini dan bagaimana hal itu akan mempengaruhi trading Forex Anda.
-
Bagaimana trading saat rilis berita?
Peristiwa keuangan biasanya dijadwalkan sebelumnya. Biasanya ada prediksi menjelang rilis (kolom Prakiraan pada kalender berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana mereka akan mempengaruhi pasar. Beberapa trader memilih untuk membuka posisi tergantung pada ekspektasi mereka terhadap laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka mengharapkan indikator tertentu untuk menaikkan mata uang, mereka akan membelinya dan begitu pula sebaliknya. Sedangkan sebagian trader lainnya tidak menyukai pergerakan harga yang cepat yang mungkin terjadi saat indikator dirilis, jadi mereka menghindari penggunaan kalender FX dan trading berdasarkan berita.
Ada banyak strategi trading berita: Anda harus menggunakan strategi yang menurut Anda paling sesuai dengan gaya trading Anda. FBS, selain menyediakan semua layanan yang diperlukan untuk trading, juga memiliki semua informasi penting untuk kebutuhan setiap trader. Periksa seksi berita kami untuk mengetahui kemungkinan pergerakan pasar.
Bahkan jika Anda bukan tipe orang yang trading berdasarkan berita, Anda tetap harus memeriksa kalender ekonomi trading atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi saat ini secara teratur karena kemungkinan besar akan mempengaruhi volatilitas pasar.
-
Apakah kalender ekonomi diperbarui secara real-time?
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi utama kami diperbarui secara otomatis saat laporan keluar. FBS hadir menyediakan pembaruan kalender ekonomi secara tepat waktu, tetapi kami tidak dapat dimintai pertanggungjawaban atas penundaan apa pun karena arus peristiwa berita trading yang terkadang tidak moderat.
Kalender Ekonomi
Daftar berita ekonomi yang penting
Waktu
Dampak
Mata uang
Peristiwa
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenarnya
May 07, 2024
07:00
CHF
Foreign Exchange Reserves
{previous}
CHF715.132B
{forecast}
{actual}
In Switzerland, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
07:30
EUR
HCOB Construction PMI
{previous}
41
{forecast}
{actual}
Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.
07:30
EUR
HCOB Construction PMI
{previous}
38.3
{forecast}
{actual}
The Germany Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index® is based on original survey data collected from a representative panel of over 200 companies based in the German construction sector. Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of construction conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the construction activity is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.
07:30
EUR
HCOB Construction PMI
{previous}
42.4
{forecast}
{actual}
Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.
08:00
GBP
New Car Sales YoY
{previous}
10.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
08:00
CNY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
{previous}
$3.246T
{forecast}
$3.23T
{actual}
In China, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, the Markit / Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply Purchasing Managers Index measures the performance of the construction sector and is derived from a survey of 170 construction companies.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global Construction PMI
{previous}
50.2
{forecast}
50.4
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, the Markit / Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply Purchasing Managers Index measures the performance of the construction sector and is derived from a survey of 170 construction companies.
09:00
SGD
Foreign Exchange Reserves
{previous}
S$497.3B
{forecast}
{actual}
In Singapore, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.
09:00
EUR
Retail Sales MoM
{previous}
-0.5%
{forecast}
0.6%
{actual}
In the Euro Area, retail sales show the evolution of the total amount of goods sold. Among them, food drinks and tobacco account for the highest share (39.3 percent); followed by electrical goods and furniture (12.0 percent share); computer equipment books and other (11.4 percent share); pharmaceutical and medical goods (9.9 percent share); textiles, clothing, footwear (9.2 percent share); auto fuel (9.1 percent share); other non-food products (6.0 percent share) and mail orders and internet (2.9 percent share). Among countries, Germany has the highest weight (25.9 percent), followed by France (21.7 percent), Italy (16.1 percent) and Spain (11.4 percent). Others are Netherlands (5.2 percent); Belgium (4.3 percent); Greece (3.0 percent); Austria (2.8 percent); Portugal (2.4 percent); Finland (1.8 percent); Ireland (1.7 percent); Luxembourg and Slovakia (0.8 percent each); Slovenia (0.6 percent); Lithuania (0.4 percent); Latvia and Cyprus (0.3 percent); Estonia (0.2 percent) and Malta (0.1 percent).
09:00
EUR
Retail Sales YoY
{previous}
-0.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the Euro Area, retail sales show the evolution of the total amount of goods sold. Among them, food drinks and tobacco account for the highest share (39.3 percent); followed by electrical goods and furniture (12.0 percent share); computer equipment books and other (11.4 percent share); pharmaceutical and medical goods (9.9 percent share); textiles, clothing, footwear (9.2 percent share); auto fuel (9.1 percent share); other non-food products (6.0 percent share) and mail orders and internet (2.9 percent share). Among countries, Germany has the highest weight (25.9 percent), followed by France (21.7 percent), Italy (16.1 percent) and Spain (11.4 percent). Others are Netherlands (5.2 percent); Belgium (4.3 percent); Greece (3.0 percent); Austria (2.8 percent); Portugal (2.4 percent); Finland (1.8 percent); Ireland (1.7 percent); Luxembourg and Slovakia (0.8 percent each); Slovenia (0.6 percent); Lithuania (0.4 percent); Latvia and Cyprus (0.3 percent); Estonia (0.2 percent) and Malta (0.1 percent).
12:00
MXN
Consumer Confidence
{previous}
47.3
{forecast}
{actual}
In Mexico, the Consumer Confidence Index (ICC) measures the current perception and future expectations that people have about their economic situation, their family and the country in general, in respect to the purchase of consumption durables and non-durables, as well as employment, inflation and savings. The index is based on a sample of 2336 households located in the 32 major cities of the country. The ICC has a base of 100 as of January of 2003, levels above 100 indicate optimism, 100 neutrality and below 100 pessimism.
12:00
MXN
Auto Exports YoY
{previous}
4.9%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Mexico, auto exports refers to total exports of vehicles.
12:00
MXN
Auto Production YoY
{previous}
-12.8%
{forecast}
{actual}
In Mexico, Car Production refers to total production of vehicles.
12:30
GBP
BoE Hall Speech
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).
12:55
USD
Redbook YoY
{previous}
5.5%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.
13:00
USD
Used Car Prices YoY
{previous}
-14.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index is a measure of used vehicle prices in the US which fall into one of the 20 market classes (i.e., excludes heavy trucks, motorcycles, etc). Manheim applies statistical analysis to its database of more than 5 million used vehicle transactions annually. The per-mile adjustment is based on a simple linear regression for price and miles for each market class based on data for the current month The Index is weighted based on a 24-month rolling average of past sales by market class.
13:00
USD
Used Car Prices MoM
{previous}
-0.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index is a measure of used vehicle prices in the US which fall into one of the 20 market classes (i.e., excludes heavy trucks, motorcycles, etc). Manheim applies statistical analysis to its database of more than 5 million used vehicle transactions annually. The per-mile adjustment is based on a simple linear regression for price and miles for each market class based on data for the current month The Index is weighted based on a 24-month rolling average of past sales by market class.
14:00
USD
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
{previous}
43.2
{forecast}
44.1
{actual}
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.
14:00
CAD
Ivey PMI s.a
{previous}
57.5
{forecast}
58.1
{actual}
The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is an economic index which measures the month to month variation in economic activity as indicated by a panel of purchasing managers from across Canada, and is prepared by the Ivey Business School at Western University. The PMI includes both the public and private sectors and is based on month end data Ivey PMI panel members indicate whether their organizations activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month across the following five categories: purchases, employment, inventories, supplier deliveries and prices.A headline value above 50 indicates an increase in purchases from the previous month and a value below 50 indicates a decrease.
